A New Report Links Climate Change, The Arab Spring, and Mass Migration [psmag.com]

Alicia Doktor 1/29/194:00 AM

A new report from the University of East Anglia in England is the first to offer an empirically established causal path from climate change to conflict to cross-border migration.

The report analyzes data from 157 countries between 2006 and 2015. While it didn't find an overall causal relationship between climate change, conflict, and migration across the world during that time period, it pinpoints a particular area and time period where it had a profound impact: countries affected by the Arab Spring between 2010 and 2012. In these areas, the authors found climatic conditions, by influencing drought severity and likelihood of armed conflict, to be a statistically significant explanatory factor of asylum-seeking.

"We can say the effect of climate change on migration is causal, and it operates through conflict," Raya Muttarak, one of the report's co-authors, told E&E News.

[For more on this story by KELLEY CZAJKA, go to https://psmag.com/news/a-new-r...g-and-mass-migration]

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